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Build More Housing Outside of Bay Area, Residents Say

Results are out from the 2016 Bay Area Council Poll

Results are out from the 2016 Bay Area Council Poll

More than 60 percent of Bay area residents surveyed in the 2016 Bay Area Council Poll said that more housing should be built outside of the region; 84 percent support stronger transportation networks between the Bay area and Sacramento and Central Valley to take pressure off the regional housing supply.

Founded in 1945, the Bay Area Council is a business-sponsored public policy advocacy organization active in the nine-county Bay area. The council bills it’s poll as a unique measure of residents’ attitudes towards topical and critical issues, such as housing and transportation.

Results of the housing component of the poll were released last week.

The poll of 1,000 residents was conducted between February 12th and March 9th by EMC Research, of Oakland, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

Some 74 percent of respondents said that it was getting harder to find housing in the Bay area now compared to a year ago. That figure is up from 68 percent in last year’s survey.

Of Alameda County residents, some 21 percent of those surveyed, 78 percent said it was getting harder to find housing.

Not broken out in the documents published in the council’s media releases, but obtained separately by Action Alameda News, is a breakdown of housing expense by homeowners and renters.

The poll suggests that when considering the percentage of household income spent on housing, owning a home is a better deal. Among homeowners, 38 percent said they spent 20 percent or less of their household income on housing, and 32 percent said they spend from 25 percent to 35 percent on housing.

Among renters, 32 percent said they spent 25 percent to 35 percent of their income on housing, and 26 percent said they spent 45 percent to 55 percent on housing.

Percentage of homeowner income spent on housing.

Percentage of homeowner income spent on housing.

Percentage of renters income spent on housing.

Percentage of renters income spent on housing.

In the transportation poll, 20 percent of respondents said it was much harder to get around compared to a year ago, with over half of Alameda County participants saying it is harder.

BART usage among those surveyed was 15 percent, compared to 79 percent for solo drivers, 41 percent who said they walk, and 17 percent who said they take a bus or light rail.

The solo auto commute is popular even among millennials, those in the 18 to 33 years old range, with 53 percent of those surveyed saying this was their primary mode of transportation. Among Gen Xers (34 to 49), 72 percent said this was their primary mode, and 78 percent of baby boomers (50 to 64) said they normally drove to work alone.

The full presentation on the housing survey results is included below.

2016 Bay Area Council Survey Results by bayfarm

3 comments to Build More Housing Outside of Bay Area, Residents Say

  • karen

    Only 1,000 people? Seriously? That’s not even statistically significant.

  • That’s a valid point. They provide a margin of error, but not a confidence level.

    Addendum: I’m asking EMC to confirm, but using a stat sig calculator and the following values:

    Nine-county Bay area population: 7.5 mil.
    Confidence Level : 95% (Assumed by me)
    Confidence Interval/MoE: 3.1% (published by EMC)

    It produces a required sample size of 999

    http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm

    The maths of MoE aren’t really affected by the total population size.

    What this means is that if EMC were to keep conducting the survey, time and again, until they had conducted it 100 times with a unique 1,000 person sample every time, sampling a total of 100,000 people, in 95 percent of the survey, the response percentages would be plus or minus 3.1 percentage points within the values published in this survey.

    I.e. In 95 percent of the surveys (95,000 ppl) 71% to 77% of participants would say it’s getting harder to find housing. (74% +/- 3.1% MoE)

    Applying the 95% figure to the Bay area, 7,125,000 of them would respond along the same % response breakdowns as this survey, +/- 3.1%.

    The remaining 375,000 people could be expected to respond differently, outside of the 71% to 77% range.

  • EMC confirmed: “With a sample size of 1,000, this poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.”

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